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Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Re-Picking the 2010 NBA Draft

Credit : Gerald Herbert/Associated Press 
Now that the 2010 NBA draft is five years behind us, we have a sample size that paints a pretty clear view of the players who are All-Star-caliber, those who are solid role players and others who didn’t pan out at the professional level.
Interestingly, the 2010 draft class is proving to be one of the deepest in league history. Paul George and John Wall have both appeared in the All-Star game. DeMarcus Cousins and Gordon Hayward,    meanwhile, have been two names pegged as All-Star snubs in recent years. But nearly every first-round pick of 2010’s re-draft features a guy making an impact in the league—a true rarity.
But what’s the perfect order of the 2010 NBA draft with this added hindsight?

Skip Methodology

In other versions of our NBA re-draft series, like with the historically awful 2000 draft and LeBron James’ elite class of 2003PointAfter used career win shares as the deciding variable in the ranking. This time around, we used the following three advanced stats:
  • Win Shares: Still playing a key role here, win shares is an estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player to his team.
  • VORP: Otherwise known as value over replacement player, this is a box score estimate of points per 100 team possessions a player contributed above (or below) a replacement-level substitute.
  • BPM: An acronym standing for box plus/minus, this stat is similar to VORP. The key difference is it focuses solely on a player’s individual contribution above a league-average player, rather than team possessions.
Players were ranked 1-30 in these three categories and awarded corresponding points. Finishing at No. 1 gave a player one point, while slotting at No. 30 meant getting 30 points. Obviously, a lower point total in this case is better, because it means the player performed well across all three metrics.
If a player did not rank within the top 30 of a category, he was handed 40 points to more accurately diminish his score. There was one instance where a player was bumped up a spot despite his score being worse, because he’s leaps and bounds better than the other guy.


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